Your Party on track to topple home secretary Shabana Mahmood

New polling suggests Your Party are going to cause unemployment in the UK. Specifically, they’ll be responsible for the sacking of current home secretary Shabana Mahmood:

🚨 MRP | Your Party to GAIN Birmingham Ladywood
(current MP = Shabana Mahmood)

🟣 YRP – 33% (new)
🔴 LAB – 24% (-19)
🟢 GRN – 19% (+10)
➡️ REF – 14% (+10)
🔵 CON – 7% (+1)

Via @FindoutnowUK / @ElectCalculus, 10-18 Sep pic.twitter.com/fd1bs6eIto

— Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️ (@LeftieStats) October 19, 2025

I wonder if this has anything to do with Mahmood and Labour cracking down on Britons’ freedom to protest in support of a genocidal foreign power?

I welcome the news that the Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood has lost her appeal and failed to block the legal challenge to the proscription of Palestine Action.

The Judicial Review will now go ahead on 25-27 November, with two additional grounds to challenge the ban’s legality.…

— Zarah Sultana MP (@zarahsultana) October 17, 2025

Your Party puts Labour on the ropes

While the next election is still four years out, this new polling is interesting for a number of reasons.

Firstly, we’ve been told for years that the UK is a ‘two party system’, and that the only choice is between the Tories or the red Tories (i.e. Labour). Now, the public have decided they’re sick of being told who they can and can’t vote for, and they’re voting as they like.

There is a problem, of course, and it’s that we still have a ‘first past the post’ voting system. As a result, it’s possible for parties to get massive majorities based on a minority of the vote. This is what happened with Labour in 2024, and it’s set to happen again with Reform in 2029.

Here’s how recent YouGov polling translates into seats:

🚨 NEW | Reform lead by 7pts

➡️ REF – 27% (-)
🔴 LAB – 20% (-)
🔵 CON – 17% (-)
🟠 LD – 16% (-1)
🟢 GRN – 13% (+1)

Via @YouGov, 12-13 Oct (+/- vs 5-6 Oct) pic.twitter.com/bRAwrYp8a0

— Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️ (@LeftieStats) October 14, 2025

Should this poll reflect the 2029 election, Reform would end up with four times as many seats as Labour despite having 1.35 times as many votes.

Do you really think Reform should enjoy an unblockable majority in parliament based on 27% of voters? And just so it’s clear, we aren’t talking about 27% of the public; we’re talking about 27% of those who vote.

The system is clearly broken, but there is another way, as Make Votes Matter argue:

Proportional Representation (PR) could potentially revolutionize the UK’s political landscape by ensuring that each party’s share of seats in Parliament aligns more closely with the proportion of votes they receive nationwide. Under such a system, smaller parties would have a greater chance of representation, breaking the dominance of the two-party system.

For the first time ever, a majority of supporters of all parties support changing the voting system. This includes Conservative supporters.

Join our call on the 27 of October to hear @nigelmp talk about why FPTP no longer delivers for the British public: https://t.co/6pVtI0UbvY pic.twitter.com/RpBxa1kFVy

— Make Votes Matter (@MakeVotesMatter) October 17, 2025

There’s actually a petition for proportional representation here.

And to be clear; we do think proportional representation is the only option.

In the social media age, bullying voters to pick Labour or Conservative clearly doesn’t work, and that genie isn’t going back in the bottle.

The Green vote

The second thing of note from the poll above is how well the Greens are doing, albeit not as well as they’re doing here:

🚨 MRP | Greens to win Manchester Rusholme

🟢 GRN – 28% (+5)
🔴 LAB – 25% (-27)
➡️ REF – 17% (+11)
🟣 YRP – 15% (new)
🔵 CON – 5% (-1)
🟠 LD – 3% (new)

Via @FindoutnowUK / @ElectCalculus, 10-18 Sep pic.twitter.com/bxZ1eMVEFl

— Stats for Lefties 🍉🏳️‍⚧️ (@LeftieStats) October 19, 2025

Now imagine what can happen if the Greens and Your Party agree not to stand against one another in the seats where they’re strongest.

Clearly there is no such thing as a ‘Labour safe seat’ anymore.

Whether our political class likes it or not, voters have decided they’re going to vote as if we have proportional representation. And if Labour don’t align themselves with this public desire, they could hand Reform a majority it clearly doesn’t deserve.

Featured image via Sophie J. Brown (Wikimedia) / Stats for Lefties