Labour’s authoritarian cabinet would be decimated in an election

The ruling Labour cabinet would face decimation if there was an election today. And if opponents to its left could join forces against the increasingly authoritarian Labour, the UK would stand a much better chance of stopping the far right from entering government and building on Keir Starmer’s legacy of repression.

🇬🇧 | Nowcast UK – State of the Cabinet*
June 13, 2026

16 cabinet ministers risk losing their seat if an election was held today

* At time of posting pic.twitter.com/OysjbzSQ1i

— Josh Housden (@JoshHousden) June 13, 2026

The good news is that polling shows we have a real chance to throw the vacuous corporate lackeys of Starmer’s cabinet out of power. Labour has:

• Failed to make meaningful improvements to our lives.
• Treated opponents of genocide as terrorists while cracking down on our freedoms to protect Israel.
• Let lobbyists influence our education system to try and silence people’s social conscience.
• Sought to limit the information young people get (possibly to reduce their anti-genocide activism and mass exodus away from Labour).
• Pandered to the far right.

From the Greens to the Lib Dems, and from the SNP and Plaid Cymru to independents, the prediction is that people to the left of Labour will abandon it in massive numbers.

We could be celebrating the losses of awful Labour right-wingers like Rachel Reeves, Steve Reed, Yvette Cooper, and David Lammy. And although Wes Streeting isn’t in the cabinet anymore, we could celebrate his exit too:

Independents can defeat Wes Streeting in Ilford North. pic.twitter.com/EX8VtqC3Et

— Ed Sykes (@OsoSabioUK) June 15, 2026

The bad news, of course, is Reform. Because the far-right party hasn’t just been biting chunks out of the Conservative Party. It has also used its dodgy billionaire money to convince people in neglected working-class communities to ignore its hateful divisiveness and send Labour a message.

If people to the left of Labour manage to coordinate their resistance, though, a Reform-Tory government isn’t inevitable.

Unite the left, and Labour could lose even worse

While the polling shows lots of Labour cabinet members losing their seats, it also shows some who could still remain MPs. Those are James Murray, Keir Starmer, Peter Kyle, Heidi Alexander, Douglas Alexander, Alan Campbell, and Emma Reynolds.

Starmer, however, absolutely can lose. That would just require a deal between independent left-wingers and the Greens to make sure there is no splitting of progressive votes:

Keir Starmer would keep his seat if his opponents on the left were divided. He would lose it if there was a joint campaign to get him out. pic.twitter.com/AxISkTJSIF

— Ed Sykes (@OsoSabioUK) June 15, 2026

Murray could potentially lose Ealing North too, if Greens and Independents can join campaigning forces. There are other areas in London and cities around the country where this may also be the case.

In some places, the Green Party is the strongest opponent to Labour. In Hove and Portslade, for example, it could defeat prominent Labour Friend of Israel Peter Kyle if it benefits from some of the energetic Independent campaigning of 2024.

In Scotland, Douglas Alexander could lose Lothian East to the SNP if Greens could help to tip it over the line. In fact, some kind of anti-Labour deal between the two could throw Labour out of Scotland entirely by taking Edinburgh South too.

With Campbell in Tynemouth, Reynolds in Wycombe, and Heidi Alexander in Swindon South, Reform is currently Labour’s main challenger.

In short, Starmer’s Labour could lose even worse. And left-wingers could benefit from that in some places. But to stop both Reform and Labour, there isn’t a one-size-fits-all solution. Different strategies will work in different places, and different parties are more likely to win.

Everyone to the left of Labour needs to find a way to work together asap. And changing our voting system should be a key point to unify us. Because making our electoral system proportional is the best hope for stopping the far right and ending Labour-Tory dominance.

Featured image via the Canary