Support for Scottish independence has reached a record high of 55%, according to a new poll.
The latest research by Panelbase found the results of the 2014 independence referendum – when 55% of Scots voted to stay in the United Kingdom – were reversed.
Pro-independence organisation Business for Scotland commissioned the poll, with chief executive Gordon MacIntyre-Kemp hailing the results as a “huge landmark” showing the “writing is very definitely on the wall for the union”.
Panelbase questioned a total of 1,011 people across Scotland between 12 and 18 August for the research.
Overall, 51% of those questioned said they support independence, 42% said they would vote to stay in the UK and 7% of voters were undecided.
When undecided voters were excluded, 55% favoured Scotland leaving the UK, with 45% preferring to stay in the union.
MacIntyre-Kemp said: “The reversal of the 2014 result is a huge landmark – 55% Yes will send shockwaves throughout the political world.
“There is no conclusion to draw from this new set of data other than the writing is very definitely on the wall for the union.”
He added: “The referendum that will be demanded following May 2021 Holyrood elections, on these figures, would start with Yes to independence commanding a 10% lead.
“Independence is now significantly the majority decision of the people of Scotland and its momentum looks solid.”
A second poll published on 19 August by Savanta ComRes found support for independence at 54%, when undecided voters are removed.
The polling firm also asked participants about their voting intention in next year’s election and put the SNP at 43%, the Tories at 21% and 16% for Labour.
The Scottish Greens were on 10% in the study, with the Lib Dems at 8%.
SNP depute leader Keith Brown said support for independence is “soaring”.
With the prime minister repeatedly ruling out having a second independence ballot, Brown said: “Boris Johnson’s attempts to deny the right of the people to decide their own future is now utterly unsustainable.
“When we look at Boris Johnson’s handling of coronavirus, and his Tory government’s contempt for all things Scotland, it is no wonder that the majority of voters in Scotland want to make their own decisions on the future of our country.”
He added: “With consecutive polls putting support for independence above 50%, it’s clear this is not a trend but the established position of the Scottish electorate.”
SNP leader and first minister Nicola Sturgeon has confirmed a pledge to hold a second independence vote will be in her party’s manifesto for next May’s Holyrood elections.
Patrick Harvie, co-leader of the pro-independence Scottish Green Party, also welcomed the survey.
He said: “I’m delighted to see yet another poll show that ever more people in Scotland believe that it is time to choose independence.
“It’s no surprise that momentum towards independence continues to build in the face of utter contempt shown to Scotland by the Westminster government.
“The people of Scotland deserve so much better and by taking our future into our own hands we can build that better Scotland.”
We need your help to keep speaking the truth
Every story that you have come to us with; each injustice you have asked us to investigate; every campaign we have fought; each of your unheard voices we amplified; we do this for you. We are making a difference on your behalf.
Our fight is your fight. You’ve supported our collective struggle every time you gave us a like; and every time you shared our work across social media. Now we need you to support us with a monthly donation.
We have published nearly 2,000 articles and over 50 films in 2021. And we want to do this and more in 2022 but we don’t have enough money to go on at this pace. So, if you value our work and want us to continue then please join us and be part of The Canary family.
In return, you get:
* Advert free reading experience
* Quarterly group video call with the Editor-in-Chief
* Behind the scenes monthly e-newsletter
* 20% discount in our shop
Almost all of our spending goes to the people who make The Canary’s content. So your contribution directly supports our writers and enables us to continue to do what we do: speaking truth, powered by you. We have weathered many attempts to shut us down and silence our vital opposition to an increasingly fascist government and right-wing mainstream media.
With your help we can continue:
* Holding political and state power to account
* Advocating for the people the system marginalises
* Being a media outlet that upholds the highest standards
* Campaigning on the issues others won’t
* Putting your lives central to everything we do
We are a drop of truth in an ocean of deceit. But we can’t do this without your support. So please, can you help us continue the fight?