Corbyn supporters are partying after Labour takes a dramatic poll lead

Jeremy Corbyn happy
Support us and go ad-free

Supporters of Jeremy Corbyn are celebrating after Labour took a dramatic seven point poll lead. Survation, the only polling company to accurately predict the 2017 general election result, has Labour on 44% and the Conservatives trailing on 37%. The Lib Dems received a mere 9%.


The poll, commissioned by the union GMB, places Corbyn’s Labour on a higher voteshare than Tony Blair’s 1997 election victory. Hence, Corbyn supporters are celebrating the gains:

Read on...

Support us and go ad-free

The poll suggests that smear campaigns against the Labour leader are failing.

What about the other polls?

Other recent surveys place Labour and the Conservatives around neck and neck. Although, it’s worth noting that the companies behind such polls got the general election result wildly wrong:

In the end, the Conservatives won the 2017 election by around two points. Nearly every polling company was out by more than the standard margin of error of 3%. Prolific pollsters BMG, ICM, and ComRes were notably way off.

Why were the pollsters so far off?

During the 2017 election, the huge variety in polling results was because of the difference in methodology. Polling companies such as ICM and ComRes failed to anticipate voter turnout, particularly among the young. This suppressed the Labour vote in the polls because young people are way more likely to support the party.

Now a recent poll by ICM, as well as one by Ipsos Mori, places the Conservatives in a one point lead. Whereas Survation has Labour on decent leads in the majority of its polls since the election.

Fed up with austerity

The new Survation results suggest that the public is increasingly fed up with Conservative austerity. According to the poll, even 48% of people who voted Conservative in the 2017 election believe that the party’s cuts have gone too far. Still, the Conservatives are about to hit struggling families with the second biggest annual benefits cut since the financial crash. The reductions will impact approximately 11 million families.

Rampant Conservative austerity is one reason many will welcome the Labour poll lead. Still, the stakes are too high for Labour supporters to take anything for granted. Whenever the next general election happens, it will have to be all systems go.

UPDATE: This article was updated at 3.15pm on 12 March to indicate that the poll was commissioned by GMB.

Get Involved!

– Fight back with the People’s Assembly Against Austerity.

Featured image via David Mirzoeff

Support us and go ad-free

We need your help to keep speaking the truth

Every story that you have come to us with; each injustice you have asked us to investigate; every campaign we have fought; each of your unheard voices we amplified; we do this for you. We are making a difference on your behalf.

Our fight is your fight. You’ve supported our collective struggle every time you gave us a like; and every time you shared our work across social media. Now we need you to support us with a monthly donation.

We have published nearly 2,000 articles and over 50 films in 2021. And we want to do this and more in 2022 but we don’t have enough money to go on at this pace. So, if you value our work and want us to continue then please join us and be part of The Canary family.

In return, you get:

* Advert free reading experience
* Quarterly group video call with the Editor-in-Chief
* Behind the scenes monthly e-newsletter
* 20% discount in our shop

Almost all of our spending goes to the people who make The Canary’s content. So your contribution directly supports our writers and enables us to continue to do what we do: speaking truth, powered by you. We have weathered many attempts to shut us down and silence our vital opposition to an increasingly fascist government and right-wing mainstream media.

With your help we can continue:

* Holding political and state power to account
* Advocating for the people the system marginalises
* Being a media outlet that upholds the highest standards
* Campaigning on the issues others won’t
* Putting your lives central to everything we do

We are a drop of truth in an ocean of deceit. But we can’t do this without your support. So please, can you help us continue the fight?

The Canary Support us

Comments are closed