• Disrupting Power Since 2015
  • Donate
  • Login
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
  • Login
  • Register
Canary
MEDIA THAT DISRUPTS
  • News
    • UK
    • Global
    • Analysis
    • Trending
  • Editorial
  • Features
    • Features
    • Environment
    • Lifestyle
    • Health
    • Money
    • Science
    • Business
    • Tech
    • Travel
    • Sport & Gaming
  • Media
    • Video
    • Cartoons
  • Opinion
No Result
View All Result
MANAGE SUBSCRIPTION
SUPPORT
  • News
    • UK
    • Global
    • Analysis
    • Trending
  • Editorial
  • Features
    • Features
    • Environment
    • Lifestyle
    • Health
    • Money
    • Science
    • Business
    • Tech
    • Travel
    • Sport & Gaming
  • Media
    • Video
    • Cartoons
  • Opinion
No Result
View All Result
Canary
No Result
View All Result

Bookmakers and by-elections just made Theresa May’s week go from bad to worse

Tracy Keeling by Tracy Keeling
23 March 2019
in Trending, UK
Reading Time: 3 mins read
162 10
A A
2
Home Trending
319
SHARES
2.5k
VIEWS
Share on FacebookShare on Twitter

Prime minister Theresa May has had a very ropey week. But the bookies and a by-election just made it go from bad to worse.

Odds on favourite

According to the Independent, bookmakers make Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn the favourite to replace her as PM. Oddschecker, which draws together odds from the top bookies, put his chances of doing so at 6/1. In fact, Betfair’s odds on Corbyn getting into Downing Street are 4/1. Ladbrokes, meanwhile, has slashed the odds on someone replacing May as PM this year to 1/6. As Ladbrokes’ Jessica Bridge told the Independent:

As far as the odds are concerned things are going from bad to worse for the prime minister

The bookmakers haven’t only delivered bad news to the current PM though. As calls for May to quit grow within her own party, it’s rumoured that numerous Conservative ministers and MPs are preparing to put themselves up for the position. But Boris Johnson, Michael Gove and Jeremy Hunt – three of the potential candidates – trail behind Corbyn in Oddschecker’s figures.

Meanwhile, the month of May this year is the bookies’ favourite for a general election at 5/2.

Bellwether by-election?

Six by-elections also took place on 21 March. And the Conservatives suffered a loss that doesn’t bode well for the party at the possibly imminent general election:

Vange (Basildon) result:

LAB: 51.3% (+10.1)
CON: 48.7% (+27.2)

Labour HOLD.

No UKIP (-37.3) as prev.

— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) March 21, 2019

Basildon, the area in Essex in which this by-election took place, was historically known as a ‘bellwether seat’; an area that signalled any shift in the wider electorate. In fact, Basildon was the “nation’s barometer” from the 1970s on. But boundary changes that came into effect in 2010 brought the majority of Basildon together with Billericay for a new seat. The latter is typically Conservative. So, the make-up of the new constituency weakened Basildon’s ‘barometer’ status. Nonetheless, Basildon Labour does claim that its won three out of the three by-elections it’s contested in this municipal year:

https://twitter.com/gavincallaghan/status/1108867208619409408

One option off the table

The bookmakers’ odds and by-election results come amid an agonising week for May. Parliament, and, indeed, the country, is extremely splintered over her command of the Brexit process. So she’s now reportedly considering offering no less than seven different Brexit options to MPs in parliament. They include her doomed deal (if the speaker allows a vote on it), two deals with additions the Labour Party has argued for and a second referendum. Meanwhile, ITV reports that May is considering removing her deal as an option entirely.

Notably, the current PM’s seven options don’t include the option of a 2019 general election. The odds that May has kept that off the table because she knows she would lose are probably 1/1.

Featured image via ITV News/YouTube and Sky News/YouTube

Share128Tweet80
Previous Post

The people on the front line of Venezuela’s struggle for food

Next Post

Brexit going as well as expected

Next Post
Theresa May in front of several explosions

Brexit going as well as expected

A picture of Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump shaking hands

Robert Mueller has finished his report into Russian collusion and people are not happy

Chris Matheson MP

One hunt monitor explains what led to a Cheshire MP demanding a 'total ban' on hunting

Green New Deal event with University of Warwick Labour Society

While the government collapses over Brexit, Labour activists have a plan to transform Britain

Michelle Bachelet

Trump’s sanctions kill Venezuelan people. Why can’t UN rights chief Michelle Bachelet 'fully acknowledge' that?

Please login to join discussion
The British Museum just held an event with the Israeli embassy - and the Met police responded by repressing Palestine protesters
News

British Museum holds event with the Israeli embassy – so Met Police respond by repressing Palestine protesters

by The Canary
14 May 2025
EXPOSED: the public is paying for Keir Starmer's in-laws to live virtually rent-free in London
Analysis

EXPOSED: the public is paying for Keir Starmer’s in-laws to live virtually rent-free in London

by Ed Sykes
14 May 2025
People are coming together on 7 June to oppose Labour's DWP benefit cuts
News

People are coming together on 7 June to oppose Labour’s DWP benefit cuts

by The Canary
14 May 2025
Keir Starmer's 'Island of Strangers' speech: channeling the racist rhetoric of Enoch Powell
Opinion

Is Keir Starmer capable of killing?

by Jamie Driscoll
14 May 2025
As an ACTUAL GENOCIDE continues, its apologists come for Gary Lineker over an emoji
Opinion

As an ACTUAL GENOCIDE continues, its apologists come for Gary Lineker over an emoji

by Ed Sykes
14 May 2025
  • Contact
  • About & FAQ
  • Get our Daily News Email
  • Privacy Policy
  • Cookie Policy

The Canary
PO Box 71199
LONDON
SE20 9EX

Canary Media Ltd – registered in England. Company registration number 09788095.

For guest posting, contact [email protected]

For other enquiries, contact: [email protected]

The Canary is owned and run by independent journalists and volunteers, NOT offshore billionaires.

You can write for us, or support us by making a regular or one-off donation.

© Canary Media Ltd 2024, all rights reserved | Website by Monster | Hosted by Krystal | Privacy Settings

Welcome Back!

Login to your account below

Forgotten Password? Sign Up

Create New Account!

Fill the forms below to register

All fields are required. Log In

Retrieve your password

Please enter your username or email address to reset your password.

Log In
No Result
View All Result
  • News
    • UK
    • Global
    • Analysis
    • Trending
  • Editorial
  • Features
    • Features
    • Environment
    • Lifestyle
    • Health
    • Money
    • Science
    • Business
    • Tech
    • Travel
    • Sport & Gaming
  • Media
    • Video
    • Cartoons
  • Opinion

© 2023 Canary - Worker's co-op.

Before you go, have you seen...?

The British Museum just held an event with the Israeli embassy - and the Met police responded by repressing Palestine protesters
News
The Canary

British Museum holds event with the Israeli embassy – so Met Police respond by repressing Palestine protesters

EXPOSED: the public is paying for Keir Starmer's in-laws to live virtually rent-free in London
Analysis
Ed Sykes

EXPOSED: the public is paying for Keir Starmer’s in-laws to live virtually rent-free in London

People are coming together on 7 June to oppose Labour's DWP benefit cuts
News
The Canary

People are coming together on 7 June to oppose Labour’s DWP benefit cuts

Keir Starmer's 'Island of Strangers' speech: channeling the racist rhetoric of Enoch Powell
Opinion
Jamie Driscoll

Is Keir Starmer capable of killing?

ADVERTISEMENT
Business
Nathan Spears

When digital isn’t enough: why paper still matters in modern business

Tech
Nathan Spears

How Digital Addictions Are Formed in the Shadow of Large Platforms

Lifestyle
Nathan Spears

Recovery in the Sun: How the Canary Islands are Becoming a Wellness Tourism Hub