Our desperate media now think they’ve found the one thing that will sink Jeremy Corbyn [IMAGE]

Support us and go ad-free

A strange theory is floating around that has emboldened the UK’s desperate media. Because they think it’s the factor that could sink Jeremy Corbyn on polling day.

The media’s newfound hope lies in a bizarre convergence of voters and mother nature. Because, according to a now much cited poll, Corbyn’s potential voters are less likely to vote if it’s raining. And our always-accurate weather forecasters say there will be rain on 8 June.

So, the theory goes that Corbyn isn’t going to have the turnout necessary to propel him into Number 10. Unfortunately for the media though, people shattered this premise pretty swiftly.

Pray for rain

As Corbyn continued to close the poll gap with Theresa May, The Telegraph consoled its readers by declaring “Corbyn’s election hopes could be hit by bad weather on Thursday”. Because, it said, forecasts of “persistent” rain could keep his supporters at bay.

Channel 4, however, fact-checked the idea. And it found that the theory comes from the US. A 2006 survey there found that:

for every one-inch increase in rain above its election day normal, the Republican presidential candidate received approximately an extra 2.5 per cent of the vote

But, as Channel 4 pointed out, there are differences between US and UK voters. The travel distances to polling stations vary widely, as does the mode of transport to get there. This has an impact on whether rain can affect candidates’ chances. Furthermore, commentator and academic John Curtice said that the notion is “one of the most common theories of turnout but nobody has ever found evidence to back it up”.

Read on...

Support us and go ad-free

And there’s also another very clear reason to distrust the theory.

Come hell or high water

Corbyn spoke in Birmingham on 6 June. And despite the rain, people turned up in their thousands:

And it wasn’t just the people who turned up. Mother nature also rustled up a couple of rainbows to get in on the act:

People, of course, may show the same determination at polling stations on 8 June. And why might they do so? Because for many, the discomfort a few drops of rain would bring is nothing in comparison to the benefits they believe a Corbyn-led government will yield.

For Corbyn-supporting voters, the choice is simple. Choose to stay in your home or get a free university education. Don’t get wet or earn a £10 minimum wage. Stay dry or save the NHS. Choose shelter or reject more Tory cuts, which have been linked to 30,000 excess deaths in the UK. Avoid a few soggy moments or elect someone who’s willing to ask the “difficult questions” about foreign policy, Saudi Arabia and terrorism funding that could derail Daesh (Isis/Isil) and the messages they send out.

That’s why people turn up to these rallies regardless of the weather. And it’s why many will surely turn up and vote as well. Because they choose change. They chose hope. And they are determined to have a say in a society that has let them down for too long.

Get Involved!

Get out there and vote on 8 June. And encourage others to do the same.

– Discuss the key policy issues with family members, colleagues and neighbours. And organise! Join (and participate in the activities of) a union, an activist group, and/or a political party.

– Also, read more Canary articles on the 2017 general election.

Featured image via Chatham House/Flickr

Support us and go ad-free

We need your help to keep speaking the truth

Every story that you have come to us with; each injustice you have asked us to investigate; every campaign we have fought; each of your unheard voices we amplified; we do this for you. We are making a difference on your behalf.

Our fight is your fight. You’ve supported our collective struggle every time you gave us a like; and every time you shared our work across social media. Now we need you to support us with a monthly donation.

We have published nearly 2,000 articles and over 50 films in 2021. And we want to do this and more in 2022 but we don’t have enough money to go on at this pace. So, if you value our work and want us to continue then please join us and be part of The Canary family.

In return, you get:

* Advert free reading experience
* Quarterly group video call with the Editor-in-Chief
* Behind the scenes monthly e-newsletter
* 20% discount in our shop

Almost all of our spending goes to the people who make The Canary’s content. So your contribution directly supports our writers and enables us to continue to do what we do: speaking truth, powered by you. We have weathered many attempts to shut us down and silence our vital opposition to an increasingly fascist government and right-wing mainstream media.

With your help we can continue:

* Holding political and state power to account
* Advocating for the people the system marginalises
* Being a media outlet that upholds the highest standards
* Campaigning on the issues others won’t
* Putting your lives central to everything we do

We are a drop of truth in an ocean of deceit. But we can’t do this without your support. So please, can you help us continue the fight?

The Canary Support us

Comments are closed