Theresa May is preparing Britain for a no-deal Brexit, and it’s terrifying

Supermarket shelves
Support us and go ad-free

Theresa May has admitted her government is now preparing the UK for a worst-case scenario of no-deal Brexit. This follows a warning by Whitehall civil servants that a no-deal could see “Armageddon” and empty shelves in supermarkets.

The government plans to send out [paywall] seventy no-deal ‘technical documents’ over the coming weeks.

On 18 July, May told the Brexit liaison committee of MPs:

Over August and September we are going to be releasing a number of technical notifications to set out what UK citizens and businesses need to do in a no deal scenario, so making much more public awareness of the preparations. We imagine there are going to be around 70 of those technical notices that will be issued.

Food shortages

Advance warning of this came in June. It was reported that Whitehall officials were planning models for a no-deal Brexit, including an “Armageddon” scenario. The officials said:

In the second scenario, not even the worst, the port of Dover will collapse on day one… The supermarkets in Cornwall and Scotland will run out of food within a couple of days, and hospitals will run out of medicines within two weeks.

A 2017 study [pdf], ‘A Food Brexit: time to get real’, warned that the worst affected will be the most vulnerable in society, particularly people who use food banks. The study added that, according to the British Retail Consortium, food prices will likely rise by 22%.

Read on...

Support us and go ad-free

One of the authors, Professor Tim Lang (City, University of London), said:

A food system which has an estimated three to five days of stocks cannot just walk away from the EU, which provides us with 31 per cent of our food.

Civil contingencies

At this point, there’s no indication how the government would proceed if a no-deal Brexit resulted in a national emergency. However, appropriate legislation is already in place in the form of the Civil Contingencies Act 2004. This includes the enactment of emergency powers in case of potential disruption to the supply of money, food, water, energy, fuel, communications and transport. County-based civil contingency units (CCUs) can also assist. CCUs include district councils, the emergency services (police, fire and ambulance services), representatives from local health organisations as well as the Armed Services.

In addition, the police can request military assistance in civil emergencies.

The last time emergency powers were enacted in the UK was in 1973/74 by Conservative prime minister Edward Heath, who went on to impose a three-day week in response to the miners’ strike. A general election was called only weeks later. Heath lost.

Miners Strike March 30yrs on Rotherham Silverwood Pit (21)

EU response

Meanwhile, the EU is preparing for the worst.

In a speech in Ireland in June, EU Commissioner Phil Hogan explained that:

The EU is ready for the worst. It will not be surprised by a UK non-decision to crash out because the mutineers succeed in running down the clock. It is prepared in case the most painful Brexit becomes a reality.

He added:

The European Commission has been sending out this message loud and clear. President Juncker, acting on instructions from the EU Chief Negotiator Michel Barnier, has engaged the Commission’s Secretariat General to issue 60 “preparedness notices” to key stakeholders.

The EU Commission has also issued seven preparedness fact sheets, as well as a document that outlines some of the major consequences [pdf, p6] for a no-deal.

Reality

If the warnings about the consequences of a ‘no deal’ are correct, the reality for people across the UK could be obvious within days of leaving the EU. And as with petrol during the 1974 ‘state of emergency’, rationing of some sort can’t be ruled out.

Indeed, earlier this year Andrew Opie of the British Retail Consortium commented:

The first people to be hit by the consequences of Brexit will be food shoppers.

How those directly affected – whatever their Brexit views – would react to food shortages, petrol shortages, price hikes and the like is anyone’s guess. What does seem clear though is that the government looks determined to push ahead with its version of Brexit, regardless of the consequences for everyone.

Get Involved!

– Ask your trade union or community organisation what their Brexit contingency plans are.

– Organise for a general strike against the Tories.

Featured image via Dominic Alves / Flickr Creative Commons

Support us and go ad-free

We need your help to keep speaking the truth

Every story that you have come to us with; each injustice you have asked us to investigate; every campaign we have fought; each of your unheard voices we amplified; we do this for you. We are making a difference on your behalf.

Our fight is your fight. You’ve supported our collective struggle every time you gave us a like; and every time you shared our work across social media. Now we need you to support us with a monthly donation.

We have published nearly 2,000 articles and over 50 films in 2021. And we want to do this and more in 2022 but we don’t have enough money to go on at this pace. So, if you value our work and want us to continue then please join us and be part of The Canary family.

In return, you get:

* Advert free reading experience
* Quarterly group video call with the Editor-in-Chief
* Behind the scenes monthly e-newsletter
* 20% discount in our shop

Almost all of our spending goes to the people who make The Canary’s content. So your contribution directly supports our writers and enables us to continue to do what we do: speaking truth, powered by you. We have weathered many attempts to shut us down and silence our vital opposition to an increasingly fascist government and right-wing mainstream media.

With your help we can continue:

* Holding political and state power to account
* Advocating for the people the system marginalises
* Being a media outlet that upholds the highest standards
* Campaigning on the issues others won’t
* Putting your lives central to everything we do

We are a drop of truth in an ocean of deceit. But we can’t do this without your support. So please, can you help us continue the fight?

The Canary Support us

Comments are closed