Jeremy Corbyn just set a new record for the Labour Party. And Theresa May will be absolutely furious
Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour Party has just set a new record. And it’s one that is heartening news for the Labour leader, but disastrous for PM Theresa May.
Who needs Blair?
YouGov has released [pdf] its latest Westminster voting intention polling. And if you trust polls, it’s very good news for Labour. In line with the trend since the general election on 8 June, Labour is ahead. But the party under Corbyn has now set a new record; as the polling company has put Labour on 46% – its highest ever scoring in a YouGov poll.
This now puts Labour 8% clear of the Tories (38%). But delve a little deeper, and the results make even better reading for Corbyn.
Corbyn surging everywhere
The poll now puts Labour ahead of the SNP in Scotland (36%/31%). Corbyn’s party also leads in all areas of the UK except the south. And Labour has managed to gain both Conservative (3%) and Lib Dem (29%) voters from the general election. But the YouGov polling gets even more interesting when you compare it to the last survey before the election.
YouGov’s final election polling, conducted from 5 to 7 June, put Labour on 35% and the Tories on 42%. So according to YouGov, Corbyn’s party has surged 11% while May’s has dropped 4%. And Labour has gained:
- 10% more male voters.
- 11% more 18-to-24-year-olds.
- 14% more 25-to-49-year-olds.
- 13% more 50-to-64-year-olds.
The YouGov results for socioeconomic status also show a Labour surge. There are six socioeconomic grades, which group people together by wealth, employment, education etc. A is the ‘highest’ and E the ‘lowest’. And in groups A, B and C1, Labour has gone from being 6% behind the Tories before the election to now leading them by 12%. It has also drawn level with the Conservative Party in statuses C2, D and E.
Finally, Labour has surged in London. Prior to the election, the party was on 41% in the capital; a 4% lead over May’s Tories (37%). But now, Corbyn’s party is sitting at 57%. And the Tories have collapsed, with YouGov predicting that they’d only pick up 29% of London voters if an election was held.
When’s the next general election?
But how does the latest polling compare to YouGov’s post-election voter analysis? Again, it’s good news for Labour. According to YouGov’s survey of how 52,615 people voted on 8 June, the party has gained:
- 9% more 18-24 year olds.
- 2% more 25-49 year olds.
- 8% more voters from socioeconomic statutes A, B and C1.
- 4% more male voters.
There could be myriad of reasons for Labour’s polling surge over the Tories: May’s £1.5bn ‘magic money tree’ deal with the DUP; the Grenfell Tower tragedy; continuing chaos around Brexit; and the Tories’ unwillingness to move on the public sector pay cap, to name but a few. And while polling should always be taken with a pinch of salt, it would appear that, if a general election were to happen tomorrow, the PM could be in serious difficulty. Because Corbyn is now in his strongest position yet.
– Read more from The Canary on the Labour Party.
– Join The Canary, so we can keep bringing you the news that matters.
Featured image via YouTube
We know everyone is suffering under the Tories - but the Canary is a vital weapon in our fight back, and we need your support
The Canary Workers’ Co-op knows life is hard. The Tories are waging a class war against us we’re all having to fight. But like trade unions and community organising, truly independent working-class media is a vital weapon in our armoury.
The Canary doesn’t have the budget of the corporate media. In fact, our income is over 1,000 times less than the Guardian’s. What we do have is a radical agenda that disrupts power and amplifies marginalised communities. But we can only do this with our readers’ support.
So please, help us continue to spread messages of resistance and hope. Even the smallest donation would mean the world to us.