Guess who Philip Hammond’s stamp duty cuts will really help

Hammond Budget
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As part of his autumn budget delivered on 22 November, Chancellor Philip Hammond announced a change to stamp duty. The ‘floor’ for this tax on property purchases was raised from properties worth £125,000 or more to £300,000. Hammond declared that this would address the UK’s housing crisis and described the policy as:

a measure that will help a million first-time buyers, saving them around £1,700 each

Rhetoric or reality?

Hammond also insisted that, as a result, 95% of first-time buyers would see stamp duty cut, while 80% would pay no stamp duty at all. This implied that young people or those on lower incomes would find it easier to get on the housing ladder. But the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), the UK’s independent fiscal watchdog, immediately contradicted the Chancellor. The OBR said:

Read on...

The main gainers from the policy are people who already own property, not the FTBs [first-time buyers] themselves.

The OBR also stated that the main effect of the stamp duty change will be to push up prices by 0.3% during 2018. Rather than easing the property market, Hammond’s measures will inflate it.

Further reaction

Following the OBR’s response, others have been quick to point out the flaws in Hammond’s approach. Jo Maugham, Director of the Good Law Project, used the OBR’s figures to do some maths and arrived at a startling conclusion:

Torsten Bell, Director of the Resolution Foundation, made a practical suggestion:

Members of the public were also quick to see through Hammond’s proposal:

More government deception

Coming at a time of economic and social hardship for so many, Hammond’s budget was framed as one to help those at the sharp end. Its reality has proved quite different.

An expensive tax cut for 3,500 people? An increase in wealth for property owners? It’s clear whose interests Hammond protects.

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