An analysis of opinion polls shows British people have turned against Brexit since the 2016 referendum. Since the vote to Leave, the UK government, supported by the DUP, has failed to come up with a viable plan to leave the EU. Yet the UK’s corporate media is now trying to blame the Irish for this, rather than focusing on this mood change that has been taking place in the UK since 2017.
Opinion poll analysis
As the Evening Standard reported, research data and analytics group YouGov analysed 226 Brexit opinion polls since July 2017. 204 of those polls show the majority of British people now favour Remain.
Since late 2017, the number of polls showing a lead for Leave has fallen. In fact, in 2019 just one poll showed a lead for Leave.
This must come as a real slap in the face for Johnson’s adviser Dominic Cummings who has attempted to portray the Brexit debate as a ‘people V parliament’ debate. Cummings claimed MPs weren’t in touch with what people in the “real world” think. These polls clearly show British people have changed their minds since the 2016 referendum.
Analysts believe one key reason for the shift in opinion is caused by voters in Labour areas changing their minds. Additionally, younger people who support remaining in the EU can now vote, and elderly people who voted in large numbers in 2016 have passed away.
Blaming the Irish is avoidance
But rather than focusing on these poll results and the disaster that a no-deal Brexit could bring to the UK, the corporate media focuses on the Irish government. Ireland, of course, owes the UK nothing. In fact, it’s quite the opposite.
Yet as Fair reported on 11 October, the Conservatives and the establishment media seem intent on ‘blaming’ the Irish Taoiseach, or prime minister, Leo Varadkar for the ongoing Brexit impasse. As it noted:
Varadkar, whose country would have to deal with an entirely new border situation in the case of a no-deal Brexit, has a vested interest in pushing the UK and the EU toward some kind of an agreement. And the papers just aren’t having it.
Disaster the Brexit could create
For some time, the impact of a no-deal Brexit has been clear.
For example, retailers warned of food shortages if the UK were to leave the EU without a deal with the EU. This was confirmed to be a distinct possibility when details were released in the Government’s contingency document ‘Operation Yellowhammer’. The document stated there will be a reduction in the choice and availability of certain food and an increase in price “which could impact vulnerable groups”.
On 10 October, Professor Dame Sally Davies, England’s chief medical officer, highlighted a much starker warning. Davies claimed a no-deal Brexit could lead to deaths. She said:
We cannot guarantee that there will not be shortages, not only of medicines but technology and gadgets and things and there may be deaths, we cannot guarantee that there won’t.
What Brexiteers promised during the referendum
One of the many claims made by the Vote Leave campaign was that leaving the EU would result in £350m per week being directed towards the NHS. Vote Leave displayed this message on the side of the Brexit “battle-bus” that toured the UK. Boris Johnson and Michael Gove fronted the Vote Leave campaign.
The main sticking point in finding agreement between the UK and the EU is the Brexiteer insistence that a customs border returns to Ireland. The reappearance of a hard border in Ireland could be very damaging for economies in both the north and south. One way around this is to have a border down the Irish Sea, but the DUP had clearly stated, until recent weeks, that it could never accept this. So this is where the real responsibility lies. Brexiteer intransigence.
So in addition to putting the blame where it should lie, the UK’s corporate media would do much better to reflect the changing opinion of the British people.
Featured image via screengrab
We need your help to keep speaking the truth
Every story that you have come to us with; each injustice you have asked us to investigate; every campaign we have fought; each of your unheard voices we amplified; we do this for you. We are making a difference on your behalf.
Our fight is your fight. You’ve supported our collective struggle every time you gave us a like; and every time you shared our work across social media. Now we need you to support us with a monthly donation.
We have published nearly 2,000 articles and over 50 films in 2021. And we want to do this and more in 2022 but we don’t have enough money to go on at this pace. So, if you value our work and want us to continue then please join us and be part of The Canary family.
In return, you get:
* Advert free reading experience
* Quarterly group video call with the Editor-in-Chief
* Behind the scenes monthly e-newsletter
* 20% discount in our shop
Almost all of our spending goes to the people who make The Canary’s content. So your contribution directly supports our writers and enables us to continue to do what we do: speaking truth, powered by you. We have weathered many attempts to shut us down and silence our vital opposition to an increasingly fascist government and right-wing mainstream media.
With your help we can continue:
* Holding political and state power to account
* Advocating for the people the system marginalises
* Being a media outlet that upholds the highest standards
* Campaigning on the issues others won’t
* Putting your lives central to everything we do
We are a drop of truth in an ocean of deceit. But we can’t do this without your support. So please, can you help us continue the fight?